Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.022760 0.024452 0.026214 0.028188 0.030341 0.032619 0.035217
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019780 0.022191 0.024833 0.027953 0.031548 0.035572 0.040438
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.017954 0.020805 0.024052 0.028043 0.032841 0.038456 0.045571
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.016358 0.019446 0.023071 0.027671 0.033397 0.040346 0.049501
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.014996 0.018208 0.022075 0.027118 0.033582 0.041674 0.052704
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.013998 0.017316 0.021403 0.026862 0.034048 0.043301 0.056312
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013137 0.016524 0.020779 0.026588 0.034418 0.044766 0.059740
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012261 0.015647 0.019978 0.026005 0.034304 0.045527 0.062195
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.011810 0.015293 0.019827 0.026259 0.035311 0.047845 0.066964
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011298 0.014824 0.019486 0.026218 0.035882 0.049558 0.070940
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010960 0.014566 0.019410 0.026527 0.036947 0.052018 0.076177
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010462 0.014060 0.018961 0.026271 0.037160 0.053215 0.079534
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010044 0.013649 0.018628 0.026169 0.037602 0.054793 0.083624
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009577 0.013149 0.018143 0.025815 0.037635 0.055735 0.086747
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009267 0.012857 0.017941 0.025866 0.038283 0.057663 0.091617
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008867 0.012415 0.017497 0.025522 0.038284 0.058544 0.094762
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008450 0.011931 0.016969 0.025018 0.037996 0.058924 0.097046
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008134 0.011583 0.016627 0.024785 0.038126 0.059990 0.100601
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007833 0.011246 0.016287 0.024535 0.038208 0.060969 0.104054
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007481 0.010816 0.015788 0.024005 0.037790 0.061061 0.105858
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007335 0.010697 0.015762 0.024236 0.038663 0.063434 0.112120
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007133 0.010483 0.015579 0.024199 0.039070 0.065001 0.116944
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007015 0.010395 0.015588 0.024481 0.040040 0.067629 0.124046